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The impact of fiscal policy on the unemployment rate in Egypt

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dc.title The impact of fiscal policy on the unemployment rate in Egypt en
dc.contributor.author Omran, Emad Attia Mohamed
dc.contributor.author Bilan, Yuriy
dc.relation.ispartof Montenegrin Journal of Economics
dc.identifier.issn 1800-5845 Scopus Sources, Sherpa/RoMEO, JCR
dc.date.issued 2020
utb.relation.volume 16
utb.relation.issue 4
dc.citation.spage 199
dc.citation.epage 209
dc.type article
dc.language.iso en
dc.publisher Economic Laboratory for Transition Research
dc.identifier.doi 10.14254/1800-5845/2020.16-4.16
dc.relation.uri http://mnje.com/sites/mnje.com/files/199-209_-_omran_and_bilan_-_novi.pdf
dc.subject fiscal policy en
dc.subject labour market en
dc.subject VAR en
dc.subject GDP en
dc.subject unemployment rate en
dc.subject Egypt en
dc.description.abstract Unemployment is one of the main challenges that the Egyptian economy faces. The purpose of this paper is to examine how the unemployment rate responds to fiscal policy shocks. The study used annual time series data for the period from 1976 to 2018 collected from the world bank and the international monetary fund. Based on Blanchard and Perotti approach, the study used a five-variables structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model with the impulse response function (IRF) tool. The main findings of this paper are that 1) At the earlier stages, a one standard deviation shock to the government spending decreases the unemployment rate until the period two, then it started to increase until reached to zero in period ten which means a positive shock to government spending has a negative impact unemployment rate. 2) At the earlier stages, a one standard deviation shock to the tax revenue temporarily decreases the unemployment rate, then it increases after the period two until it hits the zero level in the period six after that it became positive which means that in the long run, a positive shock to tax revenue has a positive impact on the unemployment rate. The study recommends the Egyptian government to run an expansionary budget to decrease the unemployment rate. © 2020, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research. All rights reserved. en
utb.faculty Faculty of Management and Economics
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10563/1010039
utb.identifier.obdid 43881404
utb.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-85095827823
utb.identifier.wok 000590139700016
utb.source j-scopus
dc.date.accessioned 2020-11-27T13:06:28Z
dc.date.available 2020-11-27T13:06:28Z
dc.description.sponsorship Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine [0120U102002, 0120U102001]; Ministry of education, science, research and sport of the Slovak Republic [VEGA 1/0689/20]
dc.rights Attribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.access openAccess
utb.ou Department of Economics
utb.contributor.internalauthor Omran, Emad Attia Mohamed
utb.fulltext.affiliation EMAD ATTIA MOHAMED OMRAN 1, YURIY BILAN 2 1 Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Tomas Bata University, Zlin, Czech Republic, e-mail: omran@utb.cz 2 Professor, Alexander Dubcek University of Trencin, Trencin, Slovakia; Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine, e-mail: yuriy_bilan@yahoo.co.uk
utb.fulltext.dates Received September 10, 2020 Revised from October 12, 2020 Accepted November 10, 2020 Available online December 15, 2020
utb.fulltext.sponsorship This research was funded by the grants from the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (No 0120U102002, No0120U102001).
utb.fulltext.sponsorship This research was supported by the Ministry of education, science, research and sport of the Slovak Republic [grant VEGA 1/0689/20 Digital economy and changes in the education system to reflect labour market demands].
utb.wos.affiliation [Omran, Emad Attia Mohamed] Tomas Bata Univ, Fac Management & Econ, Dept Econ, Zlin, Czech Republic; [Bilan, Yuriy] Alexander Dubcek Univ Trencin, Trencin, Slovakia; [Bilan, Yuriy] Sumy State Univ, Sumy, Ukraine
utb.scopus.affiliation Department of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Tomas Bata University, Zlin, Czech Republic; Alexander Dubcek University of Trencin, Trencin, Slovakia; Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine
utb.fulltext.projects 0120U102002
utb.fulltext.projects No0120U102001
utb.fulltext.projects VEGA 1/0689/20
utb.fulltext.faculty Faculty of Management and Economics
utb.fulltext.ou Department of Economics
utb.identifier.jel E62
utb.identifier.jel J68
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