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Analytical framework for industry-oriented leading cyclical indicators: Empirical investigation of EU economic cycles

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dc.title Analytical framework for industry-oriented leading cyclical indicators: Empirical investigation of EU economic cycles en
dc.contributor.author Škare, Marinko
dc.contributor.author Gavurová, Beáta
dc.contributor.author Tkáčová, Andrea
dc.relation.ispartof Acta Oeconomica
dc.identifier.issn 0001-6373 Scopus Sources, Sherpa/RoMEO, JCR
dc.identifier.issn 1588-2659 Scopus Sources, Sherpa/RoMEO, JCR
dc.date.issued 2024
utb.relation.volume 74
utb.relation.issue 2
dc.citation.spage 145
dc.citation.epage 167
dc.type article
dc.language.iso en
dc.publisher Akademiai Kiado Zrt
dc.identifier.doi 10.1556/032.2024.00007
dc.relation.uri https://akjournals.com/view/journals/032/74/2/article-p145.xml
dc.subject industry-oriented indicators en
dc.subject leading cyclical indicators (CII) en
dc.subject European Union economic cycles en
dc.subject sector analysis en
dc.subject composite leading indicator en
dc.subject economic forecasting en
dc.description.abstract This research developed an analytical framework for industry-oriented leading cyclical indicators (CII), focusing on monitoring and forecasting economic cycles within the European Union (EU). Various methodologies for constructing these indicators were examined through an exhaustive sector analysis. A salient conclusion drawn is the non-feasibility of a one-size-fits-all composite leading indicator for all EU members. It underscores the imperative to tailor these indicators in congruence with the unique industrial characteristics of each country. The study provides empirical evidence that countries like Denmark, Germany, Austria, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Finland and Sweden can benefit from high-caliber composite leading indicators tailored to their economies. Our analysis suggests that GDP is a more robust metric than the Industrial Production Index for predicting economic cycles for the EU countries. en
utb.faculty Faculty of Management and Economics
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10563/1012105
utb.identifier.wok 001254209100001
utb.source J-wok
dc.date.accessioned 2024-10-22T08:18:42Z
dc.date.available 2024-10-22T08:18:42Z
utb.contributor.internalauthor Gavurová, Beáta
utb.fulltext.sponsorship -
utb.wos.affiliation [Skare, Marinko] Juraj Dobrila Univ Pula, Fac Econ & Tourism Dr Mijo Mirkovic, Zagrebacka 30, Pula 52100, Croatia; [Skare, Marinko] Univ Econ & Human Sci, Warsaw, Poland; [Gavurova, Beata] Tomas Bata Univ Zlin, Fac Management & Econ, Zlin, Czech Republic; [Tkacova, Andrea] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Econ, Kosice, Slovakia
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